Bihar Exit Polls 2025 : Victory For NDA, Exit Polls Predict
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls Live Updates: The voting for the second and final phase of Bihar's 2025 Assembly Elections concludes today at 6 pm. With polling stations closing, attention now turns to exit polls - the first glimpse into voter sentiment and the possible direction of the results.
AI Summary
AI-generated summary, reviewed by editors
Bihar is concluding its assembly elections with voting in 122 constituencies, and exit poll results will be released after 6:30 PM, as per Election Commission guidelines; Additionally, Prashant Kishor launched a new party, and key figures like Nitish Kumar, Samrat Choudhary, Tejashwi Yadav, and Maithili Thakur are involved in key constituencies.
Stay tuned for LIVE Updates:
Bihar Exit Polls Live: The Bihar Assembly Elections concluded with a record-breaking voter turnout of 66.91%, the highest in the state’s history since 1951. According to Election Commission data, male voter turnout stood at 62.8%, while female participation was significantly higher at 71.6%, marking a historic milestone in Bihar’s electoral engagement.
RJD’s Nawada candidate Kaushal Yadav expressed confidence in a Mahagathbandhan victory, stating that Tejashwi Yadav is set to become the next Chief Minister of Bihar after November 14. He said that, based on his extensive campaign travels over the past month, the ground reality strongly favors the alliance. According to Yadav, the extremely backward classes, Mahadalits, and smaller castes—the traditional support base of Lalu Yadav—have rallied back to the Mahagathbandhan, making its government’s formation “certain.”
Union MoS for Home Affairs Nityanand Rai said the record voter turnout in the Bihar Assembly Election reflects the people’s support for a “Viksit Bihar and Viksit Bharat.” He asserted that voters trust PM Narendra Modi, CM Nitish Kumar, and the NDA alliance, crediting two decades of good governance and development in sectors like health, roads, education, and electricity. Rai expressed confidence that the NDA will return to power with over a two-thirds majority.
Agency-wise seat projections:
Dainik Bhaskar: NDA 145–160, MGB 73–91, Others 5–10
Matrix–IANS: NDA 147–167, MGB 70–90, Others 0
Peoples Pulse: NDA 133–159, MGB 75–101, Others 2–13
Peoples Insight: NDA 133–148, MGB 87–102, Others 3–8
Chanakya: NDA 130–138, MGB 100–108, Others 3–5
Polstrat: NDA 133–148, MGB 87–102, Others 3–5
JVC’s Polls: NDA 135–150, MGB 88–103, Others 3–6
Poll Diary: NDA 184–209, MGB 32–49, Others 1–5
Times Now: NDA 143, MGB 95, Others 5
Praja Poll Analytics: NDA 186, MGB 50, Others 7
P Mark: NDA 142–162, MGB 80–98, Others 3–8
TIF Research: NDA 145–163, MGB 76–95, Others 3–6
Bihar’s Exit Poll 2025
Bihar’s Exit Poll 2025
Bihar’s Exit Poll 2025
— Kamakhya Analytics (@kamakhya_X) November 11, 2025
The wait is over, the numbers are in!
From the ballot to the big picture, here’s how the battle for Bihar’s 243 seats is shaping up, as per our exit poll.#BiharElections #ExitPoll2025 #BiharPolitics pic.twitter.com/diKQzZ0YN7
IANS-Matrize Bihar Exit Poll: Alliance & Party Vote Share (%)
IANS-Matrize Bihar Exit Poll: Alliance & Party Vote Share (%)#BiharElection2025 #ExitPoll pic.twitter.com/s257kfDc4d
— IANS (@ians_india) November 11, 2025
According to the News18 Mega Exit Poll 2025, the NDA is projected to take a clear lead in the first phase of the Bihar Assembly Elections, winning between 60 to 70 seats. The Mahagathbandhan is expected to secure 45 to 55 seats, while the Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) is unlikely to make any significant impact.
Phase 1 Seat Projection (Total 121 seats):
NDA: 60–70
Mahagathbandhan: 45–55
Jan Suraaj Party: 0
Others: 0
The exit poll suggests that the NDA has managed to maintain an early edge as counting approaches.
How Exit Polls Are Conducted
Exit poll surveys are carried out once voting ends. Trained surveyors stationed outside selected polling booths approach voters to record their choices. The booths are chosen to reflect a diverse cross-section of Bihar’s electorate — urban and rural, upper and lower castes, various age groups, and genders — ensuring that the findings mirror the broader voting trends.
Why This Phase Is Crucial for NDA
This phase is particularly significant as eight cabinet ministers from the Nitish Kumar government are in the fray. For the NDA, it’s a test of strength in key constituencies, while the INDIA bloc is betting on public discontent and minority votes to tilt the scales.
What Are Exit Polls and How Do They Work?
Exit polls are conducted immediately after voters cast their ballots. Researchers from various agencies and media organisations ask voters whom they voted for, compiling responses from a representative sample of constituencies. The data is then analysed to estimate possible outcomes before the official counting begins.
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